Apparently there has been a truce and rich people will no longer be fighting over poor people’s Castles that they own, or once owned or ruined or wanted to ruin. Let’s hope it is a genuine peace, leading to better times and not more smoke and mirrors.
Backstory aside if both sides go for this, I think we could be in for a classic. Only Bournemouth have dared go at Borough with a back four, recently in the Champ, they didn’t succeed. However, I think if we play the same team and shape as we did against Hull, this could be firework football. Haymaker vs Haymaker stuff especially on the counter.
High pressing of CB’s from us, suffocating the middle of the park from them, lightning fast counters on the flanks from both of us, direct crosses from them, direct running from us, and high risk overloads all round, where the slightest mistake, leaves the backdoor wide open. Cue a stultifying 5-4-1 v 5-4-1, ‘one goal will win it’ stalemate.
Last Two in Champ:
GOALS | XG | Shots/ Shots On | Passes/Accurate | Possession | Duels/Won | ||
Boro H Avge | 1.46 | 1.44 | 11.25 38.9% | 322.88 78.8% | 48.8 | 227 48.9% | |
Opponents Avge | 1.04 | 1 | 9 32.4% | 360.79 80% | 51.2 | 227 46.9% | |
Derby A Avge | 0.63 | 0.93 | 8.56 30.7% | 413.7 82.3% | 52.33 | 228.33 45.6% | |
Opponents Avge | 1.44 | 1.38 | 10.41 36.6% | 380.89 80% | 47.67 | 228.33 48.7% |
Below is an overview of Wilder at Sheffield United, better than owt I could do. Looking a bit at Boro it feels like not much has changed. Like Warnock’s man to man marking, it’s proving a very effective strategy at championship level.
Wilder might opt for 1 in behind the front 2 but I doubt it. More chance of Roo going for a back 3 but I think sticking to the 433-ish shape against Hull, gives us fluidity and cover on the flanks where Mardyboro are most of a threat.
Counter attacks: Assuming we go same lineup. Festy and Byrne off Plange coming deep, to collect. Recoveries/interceptions from Bird/Bielik, carry the ball out and attack centrally, their last CB and Howson, then go wide right to Festy/Byrne/Knight or the ‘less haste more speed’, cultured, style of TL and Fozzy down the left. Plange also running to the flanks to collect and pulling CB’s wide then diagonal for the on rushing wide men from t’uther side. This I think has more merit on our left, where Fozzy and TL are more of a Sunday-drive-up-Minninglow-way, kind of electric than on our right. Buchanan with the odd foray into enemy territory might create a few cheeky overloads..
Boro Counter. Will usually go backwards to go forwards if not pressured, give the full backs time to enter the attacking line. If pressured hold up ball for one of the forwards to chase or knock down. Boro halfway line, press unless they sacrifice a man in MF and move him fwd behind the front 2. Will be interesting to see how we press. Do we push Knight and TL up against their CB or hold off a tad?
Boro can also alternate overlapping CB’s. Keeping one back on the opposite flank to where the ball is. They might choose to do this a little bit more if Festy is on our right.
They love to switch the play, direct football out to the flanks, n get a cross in to a stacked penalty area. They rarely play through the centre and try and stifle the game here, with three defensive midfielders. One or both the CM, ahead of Howson, will venture into the penalty area, once the opposition defence has been pinned back. It’s a bit like an attacking version of Pulis ball at times only using a front four and diagonals, instead of Crouch.
Very effective on the counter, very hard to break down defensively but also quite hard to score goals with. Think they might have scored more than two, only once this season.
As for us, I don’t think we need to change at all. Although just heard Festy is a slight doubt. Which would be annoying as we might have to use another academy prodigy in Ebiowei. Then him and Festy are gonna get mardy with each other over, who’s the greatest, bad for team morale. If fit, potentially Festy at left back, to have pace on both flanks, or a back three to match them up, but with Bielik and Bird holding, the engines of Knight and Festy and Larwence’s workrate, I think we can track back quite well with the formation we have.
Ravel back, hard to see where he’d fit maybe Lawrence moving forward to play as a false nine and Morrison playing in the half spaces on the left. Or if chasing taking off Bird or Bielik and slapping them with a little Ravel.